From simple to data-driven epidemic models to evaluate the impact of human mobility in the spread of diseases
El Departamento de Ingeniería Biomédica de la Universidad de los Andes te invita a participar en el próximo Seminario IBIO. El Dr. Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes, profesor titular de la Universidad de Zaragoza presentará la charla: From simple to data-driven epidemic models to evaluate the impact of human mobility in the spread of diseases.
Agent-based simulations provide with a detailed description of disease spreading, as they constitute the ideal benchmark to incorporate detailed information about human activity and epidemiological data about the spread of pathogens. However, agent-based simulations fail in giving insights about the role played by each ingredient in the onset of epidemic states. Here we will show that it is possible to construct metapopulation models that, apart from being amenable for their mathematical analysis, can accommodate real data about human and contagion patterns. We will apply this formalism to the treatment of vector-borne disease to derive a risk metric for each subpopulation. We will show the agreement of this measure with the real incidence of Dengue in the city of Cali (Colombia) where this disease is endemic.
Entrada libre ¡Te esperamos!